Cagliari vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAG
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAG
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 2
TOR
24%
29%
47%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
CAG
1 - 0
VIC
37%
32%
32%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
EMP
2 - 0
CAG
49%
30%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
SIE
0 - 1
PIS
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
TOR
1 - 0
SIE
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
SIE
2 - 0
AVE
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 0
SIE
58%
19%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SIE
1 - 0
ARZ
69%
16%
16%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |