Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 1-4
Cagliari vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
EMP
4 - 1
CAG
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
ROM
2 - 0
CAG
80%
14%
7%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
CAG
0 - 0
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CAG
1 - 2
ACM
16%
24%
61%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CAG
0 - 3
SAM
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
UDI
3 - 2
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SAM
3 - 0
REG
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
LIV
3 - 1
SAM
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SAM
3 - 0
EMP
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CAG
0 - 3
SAM
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |