Champions League 1/16
Global 3-1
Cagliari vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
CAG
4 - 1
MAS
91%
7%
3%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
PIS
2 - 4
CAG
19%
24%
57%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
LIV
2 - 0
CAG
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
CAG
0 - 0
VAR
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
BOL
4 - 0
CAG
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
MET
2 - 2
ASS
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASS
16%
25%
59%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 0
SOC
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1970 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASS
25%
21%
55%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 3
NAN
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |