Cagliari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAG
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CAG
2 - 1
UDI
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAG
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
LIV
2 - 1
CAG
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2007 |
INT
2 - 1
ROM
58%
22%
19%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ROM
0 - 1
TOR
81%
14%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
ROM
6 - 2
INT
40%
27%
34%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 2
ROM
29%
25%
46%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
57%
22%
20%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |