Cagliari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 2
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CAG
3 - 3
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAG
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CAG
3 - 1
LEC
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 2
JUV
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 0
ROM
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ROM
3 - 0
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
INT
2 - 0
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |