Cagliari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
SAL
1 - 3
CAG
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
CAG
0 - 1
BOL
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
PRG
2 - 1
CAG
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
CAG
0 - 1
VNZ
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
UDI
2 - 1
CAG
65%
19%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
ROM
2 - 2
PIA
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
INT
4 - 1
ROM
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
PAR
1 - 1
ROM
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1998 |
ZUR
2 - 2
ROM
27%
28%
46%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
ROM
5 - 1
PRG
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |