Cagliari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
CAG
2 - 2
PAL
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
CAG
1 - 1
BEN
80%
13%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 2
CAG
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
REG
0 - 2
CAG
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ROM
2 - 0
COM
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
VER
0 - 5
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
LEC
0 - 0
ROM
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
ROM
5 - 1
MOD
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
SPA
0 - 1
ROM
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |