Cagliari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
CAG
2 - 1
VAR
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
TER
0 - 0
CAG
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
CAG
1 - 2
TER
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAG
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ROM
2 - 3
VAR
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
TER
0 - 1
ROM
33%
28%
40%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
ROM
2 - 1
ASC
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ATL
0 - 1
ROM
45%
29%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
26%
29%
45%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |