Cagliari vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
CAG
0 - 2
PRG
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAG
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1977 |
PES
0 - 0
CAG
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
CAG
3 - 2
ASC
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAG
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
PIS
0 - 1
PRG
48%
23%
28%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
TAR
3 - 0
PIS
35%
24%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
PIS
0 - 0
MOL
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 19 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
FUC
0 - 2
PIS
18%
21%
61%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
FIU
2 - 2
PIS
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |