Cagliari vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LAZ
2 - 1
CAG
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAG
0 - 1
INT
15%
24%
62%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAG
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
JUV
4 - 2
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CAG
0 - 0
SAM
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PIA
3 - 2
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CRO
0 - 1
PIA
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
PIA
2 - 2
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
EMP
1 - 1
PIA
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
PIA
2 - 2
PAD
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |