Cagliari vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
REG
2 - 2
CAG
16%
24%
60%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
FIA
1 - 1
CAG
17%
24%
59%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
CAG
2 - 2
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAG
28%
25%
46%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
CAG
2 - 1
RAV
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
PRG
3 - 0
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
CSA
1 - 1
PRG
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
PRG
2 - 0
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
ANC
2 - 2
PRG
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
PAD
3 - 1
PRG
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |