Cagliari vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAG
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1977 |
PES
0 - 0
CAG
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
CAG
3 - 2
ASC
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAG
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
CAG
3 - 2
VAR
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1977 |
INT
1 - 1
PRG
64%
22%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
PRG
4 - 2
NAP
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
SAM
2 - 0
PRG
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
PRG
1 - 1
JUV
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |