Cagliari vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 1
CAG
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 2
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CAG
1 - 2
FIO
41%
26%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LEC
3 - 3
CAG
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
JUV
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
UDI
0 - 2
PAR
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
INT
16%
24%
60%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |