Cagliari vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.1%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 1
CAG
28%
31%
42%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 0
SPA
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
SAM
1 - 2
CAG
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 2
CAG
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 1
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
NOV
1 - 1
MOD
50%
29%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 0
NOV
47%
30%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 3
ACM
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ATL
3 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
LAZ
3 - 2
NOV
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |