Cagliari vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 1
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAG
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
CAG
3 - 1
VER
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
CAG
1 - 1
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
NOV
0 - 4
USA
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
CAT
4 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
MOD
3 - 1
NOV
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |