Cagliari vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 3
CAG
51%
27%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
CAG
1 - 1
GEN
33%
31%
36%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAG
58%
25%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
CAG
4 - 0
FIO
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
CAG
0 - 0
ATL
31%
31%
39%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
NAP
3 - 0
LAZ
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
BAR
1 - 3
NAP
22%
29%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
NAP
3 - 2
ROM
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
SAM
1 - 1
NAP
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
NAP
1 - 1
INT
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |