Cagliari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1987 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAG
62%
24%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
CAG
2 - 2
GEN
40%
32%
28%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAG
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1987 |
NAP
4 - 1
CAG
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 1
CAG
37%
32%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
USC
39%
32%
29%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
PES
1 - 2
MOD
67%
22%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
MES
39%
30%
30%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
BAR
3 - 0
MOD
61%
25%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
39%
32%
30%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |