Cagliari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAL
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAG
46%
30%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
CAG
3 - 1
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 2
CAG
46%
30%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
CAG
3 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
MOD
0 - 1
AVE
49%
29%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
TER
2 - 0
MOD
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 0
TAR
45%
31%
24%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
SSS
5 - 0
MOD
56%
28%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
MOD
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |