Cagliari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
BRE
0 - 1
CAG
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAG
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
CAG
0 - 2
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
TRI
3 - 1
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
LAQ
2 - 0
MOD
37%
24%
39%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 3
BOL
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 1
MOD
70%
18%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |