Cagliari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
CAG
1 - 5
ROM
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
CAG
1 - 1
VNZ
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
CAG
1 - 1
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
ASS
2 - 3
CAG
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAG
58%
23%
18%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
MES
2 - 1
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
MES
4 - 1
VER
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
PRO
0 - 1
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
MES
2 - 0
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |