Cagliari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
MAN
2 - 1
CAG
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
TOR
5 - 0
CAG
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
CAG
2 - 1
VER
50%
25%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
ROM
4 - 0
CAG
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACM
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
48%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 0
MES
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
48%
22%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |