Cagliari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
CAG
1 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
USA
1 - 1
CAG
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAG
47%
24%
28%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
CAG
2 - 0
VNZ
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CAG
0 - 2
ASS
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
MES
2 - 0
TAR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
BAR
1 - 0
MES
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
MES
1 - 1
USA
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
MES
1 - 0
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |