Cagliari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAG
42%
25%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
VER
3 - 1
CAG
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 0
ASL
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
43%
23%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAG
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
FAN
0 - 1
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
MES
1 - 1
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
MES
2 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
MES
2 - 0
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |