Cagliari vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAG
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
CAG
2 - 0
UDI
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
CAG
3 - 2
VER
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
COS
2 - 0
CAG
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAD
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 1
SSS
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
ASS
6 - 1
ASL
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
COM
2 - 2
ASL
60%
20%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |