Cagliari vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAG
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACM
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
CAG
0 - 0
MOD
74%
15%
10%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1953 |
ATP
3 - 1
ASL
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 1
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
UNI
3 - 1
ASL
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 2
TRE
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 2
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |