Cagliari vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
INT
2 - 0
CAG
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
CAG
0 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 3
CAG
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
SAM
3 - 2
CAG
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CAG
3 - 0
ROM
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
LAZ
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
LAZ
3 - 1
LIV
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
SIE
1 - 0
LAZ
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LAZ
1 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MES
1 - 0
LAZ
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |