Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Cagliari vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
46.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
NAP
1 - 2
CAG
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
CAG
2 - 0
PIA
59%
26%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
LAZ
4 - 0
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
CAG
1 - 1
USF
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
INT
3 - 3
CAG
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
ATL
1 - 3
JUV
25%
27%
49%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
TOR
1 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
JUV
5 - 1
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
REG
0 - 0
JUV
17%
25%
58%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
JUV
2 - 0
USF
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |