Coppa Italia Final
Global 2-1
Cagliari vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
CAG
0 - 0
ROM
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
CAG
0 - 1
JUV
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAG
38%
29%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
CAG
1 - 0
INT
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAG
59%
25%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
JUV
0 - 0
TOR
60%
25%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
CAG
0 - 1
JUV
49%
27%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
JUV
2 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
47%
27%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
JUV
2 - 2
ROM
64%
23%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |