Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Cagliari vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
CAG
2 - 1
PRG
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAG
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2000 |
CAG
1 - 0
ROM
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
CAG
0 - 0
LAZ
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
INT
2 - 1
CAG
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 1
INT
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
INT
2 - 1
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2000 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
VER
1 - 2
INT
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
INT
2 - 1
CAG
72%
17%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |