Cagliari vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2001 |
TER
1 - 0
CAG
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
CAG
0 - 0
SIE
73%
17%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ANC
1 - 1
CAG
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2000 |
CAG
0 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
EMP
0 - 3
CAG
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
GEN
0 - 0
TRE
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
GEN
3 - 1
CTT
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
PIA
2 - 1
GEN
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
PIS
3 - 3
GEN
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |