Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 7-2
Cagliari vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
CAG
1 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
CAG
1 - 1
VNZ
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
PRG
3 - 0
CAG
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CAG
0 - 1
JUV
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 1
CAG
77%
15%
9%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
COS
1 - 0
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CHI
1 - 0
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1999 |
GEN
3 - 0
SAL
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
GEN
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
GEN
5 - 1
EMP
50%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |