Cagliari vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
USF
1 - 1
CAG
15%
23%
63%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
CAG
2 - 1
VER
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
CSA
0 - 3
CAG
16%
22%
63%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
CAG
2 - 0
PES
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
TRE
0 - 1
CAG
17%
23%
60%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
GEN
2 - 2
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
CHI
0 - 1
GEN
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
GEN
2 - 1
ANC
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
ASL
2 - 3
GEN
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
GEN
3 - 1
VNZ
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |