Cagliari vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
27%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1993 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAG
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
CAG
3 - 1
BRE
52%
29%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
CAG
0 - 2
SAM
24%
29%
48%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAG
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
CAG
2 - 1
ATL
36%
30%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1993 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
PES
1 - 2
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
GEN
0 - 0
USF
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
ANC
0 - 0
GEN
37%
30%
33%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
GEN
2 - 3
LAZ
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |