Cagliari vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
25.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
PES
2 - 0
CAG
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
PIS
42%
31%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
50%
29%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAG
59%
25%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAR
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
CES
3 - 1
GEN
49%
29%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
GEN
35%
34%
31%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRG
61%
26%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |