Cagliari vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAG
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAG
2 - 1
INT
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAG
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAG
2 - 1
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAG
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 3
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 3
INT
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 4
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |