Cagliari vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
42.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
CAG
0 - 0
ATL
31%
31%
39%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
INT
0 - 0
CAG
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
CAG
4 - 0
VER
37%
31%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAG
72%
20%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
CAG
2 - 2
USF
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 2
ASC
70%
20%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 1
INT
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
ROM
1 - 3
FIO
60%
23%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
FIO
0 - 0
ACM
24%
28%
48%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |