Cagliari vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
25.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAG
44%
30%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
CAG
3 - 0
LIC
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
COS
0 - 2
CAG
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
REG
1 - 0
CAG
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
CAG
2 - 0
AVE
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
FCC
0 - 0
REG
41%
30%
29%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 0
FCC
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
PIS
1 - 1
FCC
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
FCC
1 - 1
LIC
47%
29%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
62%
25%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |