Cagliari vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
24.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAG
51%
29%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 1
ASS
47%
33%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAG
48%
31%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
PRG
44%
33%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
LAZ
3 - 1
CAG
64%
23%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
PES
0 - 0
FCC
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAL
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
44%
31%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASS
53%
29%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
EMP
1 - 0
FCC
47%
30%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |