Cagliari vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 2
CAG
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
COM
1 - 0
CAG
42%
30%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
CAG
1 - 1
CAV
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
CAG
2 - 1
TRI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
CES
0 - 0
CAG
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
FCC
1 - 0
USC
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
CES
1 - 0
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
FCC
2 - 2
COM
51%
30%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
FCC
1 - 1
PRG
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
CAM
2 - 1
FCC
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |