Cagliari vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
CAG
1 - 0
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
TRI
0 - 0
CAG
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAG
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
BRE
3 - 0
CAG
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
CAG
0 - 0
VAR
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
FCC
0 - 0
POT
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
PRO
3 - 1
FCC
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
UDI
1 - 1
FCC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 0
USF
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |