Cagliari vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAG
12%
19%
69%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
FEN
2 - 2
CAG
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CAG
1 - 1
LEE
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
CAG
2 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CAG
1 - 1
FER
83%
12%
4%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
RAV
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 2
UAR
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
CAG
2 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 2
VIR
84%
12%
3%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FRO
0 - 0
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |