Cagliari vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAG
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAG
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 1
AVE
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SAL
3 - 2
CAG
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAG
2 - 0
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CAT
3 - 0
VNZ
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
0 - 0
CAT
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAT
0 - 1
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 2
CAT
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |