Cagliari vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAG
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
CAG
3 - 0
VIC
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
CAG
2 - 1
ANC
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAG
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 2
LIV
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
TER
3 - 1
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CAT
2 - 0
VNZ
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAT
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
COS
3 - 1
CAT
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |