Cagliari vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
19.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
20.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
27.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.8%
5%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
AVE
0 - 0
CAG
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 0
COM
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAG
35%
32%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
CAG
3 - 2
ATL
63%
24%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAG
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
CAT
68%
23%
10%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
CAT
1 - 1
ATL
37%
32%
31%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
NOV
2 - 1
CAT
56%
28%
16%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
SSS
50%
30%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAT
61%
26%
12%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |