Cagliari vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
CAG
1 - 0
COM
53%
27%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAG
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
CAG
1 - 1
ACP
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
VNZ
3 - 1
CAG
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 2
BRE
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASS
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
COM
3 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |