Cagliari vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 2
CAG
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 0
FCC
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
CAG
1 - 3
COM
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAG
3 - 0
CAG
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 36 | 47 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 3
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAT
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ACD
0 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
VIC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 2
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |