Cagliari vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 2
CAG
20%
23%
56%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
CAG
0 - 0
REG
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAG
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
CAG
2 - 0
REG
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
CAG
3 - 0
FIA
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
FIA
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
ASS
2 - 0
PAD
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
PAD
3 - 0
USF
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
PES
4 - 0
PAD
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 1
ANC
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |