Cagliari vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
LAZ
0 - 0
CAG
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
CAG
4 - 2
REG
59%
26%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1995 |
GEN
1 - 1
CAG
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
CAG
2 - 1
USF
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
TOR
3 - 2
CAG
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
PAD
0 - 0
ROM
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
JUV
0 - 1
PAD
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 1995 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAZ
26%
27%
46%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 3
PAD
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
USF
4 - 1
PAD
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |