Cagliari vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAG
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
TOR
24%
30%
45%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
SSB
0 - 0
CAG
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
USF
58%
26%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
REG
2 - 0
CAG
38%
31%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
PAD
0 - 0
AVE
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
REG
4 - 0
PAD
49%
30%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 1
PAD
51%
30%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 1
TOR
22%
30%
48%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |