Cagliari vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
UDI
1 - 3
CAG
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
VER
0 - 0
CAG
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
CAG
4 - 1
COS
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
CAG
1 - 1
MES
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
CAG
1 - 5
ROM
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
PAD
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
0 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
4 - 2
USF
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAD
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
2 - 1
VIC
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |